Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.408334 0.483687 0.567752 0.668301 0.785101 0.916303 1.074649
2024-12-29 0.301433 0.400008 0.521657 0.682016 0.886949 1.139094 1.471748
2025-01-05 0.241265 0.348751 0.491775 0.694310 0.971730 1.336083 1.848077
2025-01-12 0.195347 0.303618 0.457119 0.687867 1.022529 1.486114 2.171666
2025-01-19 0.163053 0.270228 0.430895 0.685323 1.073022 1.635153 2.503322
2025-01-26 0.145037 0.254399 0.426583 0.711914 1.165689 1.849927 2.946566
2025-02-02 0.140420 0.258683 0.452903 0.787487 1.339258 2.199234 3.621062
2025-02-09 0.127563 0.246716 0.450723 0.815811 1.439584 2.443469 4.153805
2025-02-16 0.110501 0.224397 0.427675 0.805460 1.473840 2.583867 4.531229
2025-02-23 0.093697 0.199698 0.396803 0.776944 1.472766 2.664146 4.814166
2025-03-02 0.078762 0.176075 0.364462 0.741180 1.453902 2.710700 5.041310
2025-03-09 0.073888 0.171937 0.368255 0.772837 1.559501 2.980768 5.675867
2025-03-16 0.062944 0.153639 0.342641 0.746238 1.556599 3.062806 5.994177
2025-03-23 0.057527 0.146567 0.338863 0.762666 1.638086 3.306318 6.627791
2025-03-30 0.052526 0.139558 0.334166 0.776394 1.715222 3.547668 7.276474
2025-04-06 0.046548 0.129138 0.320528 0.769256 1.748765 3.707562 7.782085
2025-04-13 0.041647 0.120486 0.309582 0.766436 1.790548 3.886348 8.337682
2025-04-20 0.039349 0.118126 0.312878 0.795919 1.904105 4.217843 9.221512
2025-04-27 0.040342 0.124733 0.338449 0.879670 2.144248 4.826465 10.709734
2025-05-04 0.038227 0.122410 0.341758 0.911042 2.270083 5.206392 11.754480
2025-05-11 0.034166 0.113808 0.328063 0.899578 2.296952 5.378542 12.377518
2025-05-18 0.029686 0.103095 0.307332 0.867990 2.273420 5.439422 12.767730
2025-05-25 0.025452 0.092259 0.284626 0.828360 2.226244 5.443624 13.034343